Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 4.160270 4.471349 4.804734 5.190381 5.626459 6.106972 6.680243
2025-06-08 3.665467 4.098629 4.593305 5.207217 5.959061 6.864176 8.059376
2025-06-15 3.389769 3.893730 4.495196 5.280603 6.302457 7.622870 9.524176
2025-06-22 3.076474 3.595741 4.233610 5.095598 6.265379 7.856618 10.304574
2025-06-29 2.852988 3.382151 4.047834 4.973789 6.277052 8.133089 11.169937
2025-07-06 2.678344 3.213312 3.900065 4.879552 6.303434 8.417857 12.085738
2025-07-13 2.555337 3.100500 3.813940 4.856410 6.420938 8.844828 13.316841
2025-07-20 2.486031 3.052195 3.808302 4.942157 6.704306 9.568054 15.249450
2025-07-27 2.432841 3.020703 3.821266 5.052660 7.034476 10.418192 17.681004
2025-08-03 2.354133 2.948593 3.770574 5.060617 7.196359 10.995849 19.731280
2025-08-10 2.259873 2.849323 3.673908 4.988293 7.213118 11.303846 21.265153
2025-08-17 2.158779 2.735450 3.549274 4.861965 7.122288 11.387575 22.271031
2025-08-24 2.071264 2.640208 3.451626 4.779315 7.113868 11.664100 23.996374
2025-08-31 2.014124 2.586475 3.413591 4.791732 7.281168 12.344432 27.256522
2025-09-07 1.974377 2.555681 3.407781 4.855970 7.551537 13.308133 32.063110
2025-09-14 1.883586 2.445690 3.274227 4.693379 7.366614 13.189963 32.996349
2025-09-21 1.811903 2.361316 3.176555 4.586113 7.280126 13.294264 34.901138
2025-09-28 1.750634 2.290082 3.096003 4.503005 7.233045 13.487342 37.346638
2025-10-05 1.707215 2.243968 3.052833 4.482579 7.311497 14.017235 41.807686
2025-10-12 1.687073 2.232106 3.063330 4.558228 7.599080 15.173845 50.883150
2025-10-19 1.672283 2.227608 3.085122 4.655587 7.946215 16.605507 64.323444
2025-10-26 1.640297 2.195225 3.059514 4.662592 8.092858 17.488758 76.145350
2025-11-02 1.596491 2.142942 2.998693 4.598895 8.069948 17.833164 84.416706